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For years, China has served as the "factory floor" for global production, driving down prices for consumers worldwide. But, unfortunately, China's rapid and chaotic industrialization has put it on a collision course with the rest of the world. The Coming China Wars was the first book to systematically cover all those conflicts: political, economic, and environmental. Now, in this new edition, Dr. Peter Navarro has thoroughly updated the entire book. You'll find new chapters on the danger posed by China's flood of defective products and contaminated food; China's dramatic military expansion and the rising threat of a "hot war"; China's space program and its profound strategic implications; China's growing suppression of human rights and free speech; and much more. The coming China Wars will be fought over everything from decent jobs, livable wages, and advanced technologies to strategic resources...and eventually to our most basic of all needs: bread, water, and air. Unless all nations immediately address these impending conflicts, the results may be catastrophic. Like the First Edition, this book demands that we think much more deeply about how to stop the coming China Wars, laying out hard choices that must be made sooner rather than later. This new edition offers even more policy recommendations, including original contributions from several of the world's most important China experts.
- Sales Rank: #537207 in Books
- Published on: 2008-05-04
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 8.90" h x .70" w x 5.90" l, .66 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 219 pages
From Publishers Weekly
In this comprehensive, contemporary look at the awakening giant that is China, Peter Navarro describes an emerging power beleaguered by both internal and external threats-if the Japanese don't get them, AIDS and SARS will. This will reassure those readers who are increasingly convinced that the Chinese will eat us for lunch. However, as Navarro points out, China's human and natural resources make her a formidable global player-and her native, amoral ruthlessness suggests she will win. Still, as a nation undergoing its Industrial Revolution in the Information Age, China has her problems transitioning from Communism to capitalist imperialism, as seems to be her goal. True, government and industry have forged strong bonds (that allow them to exploit slave labor and ignore environmental and economic constraints that hamper other nations), but like any modern nation, China is paying the price of competing in a global economy: pollution; rapacious private medical care expenses; an aging, under-pensioned population; international tensions; and a large and disgruntled peasant working class. Navarro, whose inclination to breathless hyperbole makes even a chapter on dam construction exciting, tellingly devotes 10 chapters to China's problems and one to their solution-essentially tired policy prescriptions (wean the U.S. from oil dependence and cheap Chinese imports). This informative book will teach readers to understand the dragon, just not how to vanquish it.
Copyright � Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Review
"Peter Navarro is that rarest and most valuable of China-watchers -- an economist who sees the big strategic picture as well. The Coming China Wars contains the kind of realistic analysis needed by all Americans today, from voters to presidential candidates." - Alan Tonelson
From the Back Cover
""The Coming China Wars" is a gripping, fact-filled account of the dark side of China's rise that will be of interest to anyone interested in this complex and fascinating country. Navarro issues a call to arms for China and the rest of the world to act now to address the country's mounting problems-pollution, public health, intellectual property piracy, resource scarcity, and more-or risk both serious instability within China and military conflict between China and other major powers."-Elizabeth C. Economy, Director for Asia Studies, Council on Foreign Relations "In this comprehensive examination of China's mushrooming economy, Navarro masterfully illuminates the dark sides of China's great leaps into privatization and globalization."-Boston Globe ..."serves as an important touchstone for any prudent discussion regarding the implications to China's growth. For those unfamiliar with China's ecological disaster, natural-resource crisis or aging and soon to be inverted demographics, this book is a very good introduction."-Asia Times "In this informative volume, Navarro explores China's impact on the world and the perils it creates. This provocative and potentially controversial book will be of value to a wide audience. Summing up: Highly recommended"-CHOICE ""The Coming China Wars" has a wealth of fascinating information about the impact of China on the world and the perils it creates. Because of China's great importance, this is a book we should all read."-D. Quinn Mills, Harvard Business School "Peter Navarro has captured the breadth of areas where China and the United States have fundamental conflicts of business, economic, and strategic interests. He puts this into a global context demonstrating where China's current development course can lead to conflict. His recommendations for nations to coalesce to respond to the challenges posed by China are practical. This book should be in the hands of every businessperson, economist, and policy-maker."-Dr. Larry M. Wortzel, Chairman, US-China Economic and Security Review Commission www.peternavarro.com comingchinawars.com The shocking worldwide best-seller on China's rise to dominance...Now 100% updated for the latest headlines and their implications...Extensive new coverage, including -China's deadly exports...from poisonous drugs to killer toysWill China "go nuclear" on U.S. financial markets? -China's provocative military buildup and secret Star Wars programFrom Burma to Darfur: how China supports the world's tyrants -China's growing internal human rights abuses and brutal subjugation of TibetPlus many new recommendations and positive solutions In this Revised and Expanded edition of "The Coming China Wars", Peter Navarro has thoroughly updated his bestselling book on the threats now posed by the dramatic rise of China as an economic and military superpower. Discover how to protect yourself (or your business) from the defective and sometimes lethal products pouring out of China's factories...how China's enormous trade surplus threatens to "nuke" the U.S. economy...how China's accelerating military buildup and secret Star Wars program is sharply tipping the global strategic balance...how China's "blood for oil" imperialism is devastating Africa and throwing kerosene on the Middle East powder keg...how China's prodigious pollution kills close to a million Chinese a year while riding the jet stream to darken U.S. skies...and, perhaps most terrifying of all, how this nuclear superpower may be spiraling toward internal chaos. With extensive new coverage, this book analyzes all of today's "China Wars" economic, military, environmental, political, and beyond. This new edition adds must-read policy recommendations and positive solutions-an alternative path to safely manage China's growth and avoid global catastrophe. -Killer toys, fake prescription drugs, stolen patents The growing dangers of China's "weapons of mass production" -China's 21st century imperialism and tomorrow's "blood for oil" flashpointsThe coming U.S./China showdown over oil and natural resources -America's new and dangerous central bankerHow China's gigantic trade surpluses threaten to destroy U.S. sovereignty -Realistic solutions What can and must be done-by consumers, voters, government, and business
Most helpful customer reviews
218 of 290 people found the following review helpful.
A book that is meant to terrify you!
By An expat based in Beijing
In The Writing on the Wall: China and the West in the 21st Century (which I recommend to anybody who cares about global peace and prosperity), author Will Hutton says, "[China] requires our understanding and engagement - not our enmity and suspicion, which could culminate in self-defeatingly creating the very crisis we fear."
If you want to know such enmity and suspicion to the extreme, read The Coming Wars of China, which is simply a categorisation of the bad stories about China you can find over the internet. (Author's note: "Much of the research conducted for this book was done over the internet.") To give you an example, on page 137-138 the author uses the information on the Banqiao Dam found at Wikipedia - the Banqiao Dam was built in the early 1950s and crested and collapsed when Typhoon Nina hit in 1975 - to prove that it is not a good idea to build the Three Gorges Dam.
In fact, you know you are in for some catastrophic scenarios when you read the author's prediction in the form of a "News Release, October 25, 2012" on the first page of the Introduction:
- "Global stock exchanges were devastated this week by the worst collapse in history as a wave of panic selling followed...a Chinese government announcement that it would no longer finance the mounting budget and trade deficits of a 'profligate United States'."
- "It's been a tough year for Sino-US relations. In January, the US ambassador to the United Nations stormed out in protest over...[China's] veto to shield terrorist regimes such as Iran from diplomatic sanctions in exchange for oil. In March, China's president abruptly cancelled a state visit after the US Treasury Department branded China a 'currency manipulator.' During an unusually hot August that raised collateral fears of global warming, the US Pacific Fleet engaged in a tense, week-long standoff over Taiwan with China's [navy]."
- "Meanwhile, domestic unrest in China continues to escalate... A recent report released by the US Central Intelligence Agency has warned that should such domestic unrest reach a boiling point in China, the result may be 'sharper military conflicts with the United States, Taiwan, and possibly even Japan as Chinese leaders seek to unify the now increasingly fractured nation against a 'common enemy.'"
Of course, if you like betting, you can always buy the book now and check the validity of the author's prediction in the year 2012.
I would not, however, recommend that you do this. Instead, I recommend that you buy Will Hutton's The Writing on the Wall, which is one of the first truly enlightening books on China because of the author's unbiased attitude and approach.
74 of 103 people found the following review helpful.
China-Bashing at its worst
By Francis Schortgen
"[China] requires our understanding and engagement - not our enmity and suspicion, which could culminate in self-defeatingly creating the very crisis we fear" (Hutton 2006)
A line from the book? Hardly! Nevertheless, The Coming China Wars relates in an unmistakable to this quote, for it exemplifies in starkest terms the very enmity and suspicion that Will Hutton cautions against in The Writing on the Wall: Why We Must Embrace China as a Partner or Face Her as an Enemy. If the choice of title for the book itself fails to communicate the line of thought that pervades the book, the reader need not go any further than the author's introduction, which he begins with a fictitious October 25, 2012, News Release, entitled "U.S.-China Chill Melts Down World Markets." It remains highly debatable whether or not, as the author claims, "China has put itself on a collision course with the rest of the world," or whether that purportedly inevitable course is not possibly the result of a larger combination of factors, including not least highly de-contextualized and emotional analysis for which the United States, in the eyes of the noted German journalist and author, Peter Scholl Latour, appears to have a near infallible inclination in recent years. The Coming China Wars merely helps to further cement this perception.
Navarro discusses eight major China Wars that, ironically enough considering his heavy-handed, one-sided analytical approach, he argues require "a better understanding of the complexities of the economic origins" so as to "lead to their peaceful resolution" (xix). These China Wars include what he describes as (1) the Not-So-Swashbuckling Piracy Wars, (2) The 21st Century Opium Wars, (3) The Air Pollution and Global Warming Wars, (4) The "Blood for Oil" Wars, (5) The New Imperialist Wars, (6) The Damnable Dam and Water Wars, (7) China's Wars from Within, and (8) China's Ticking Time Bombs.
It is not altogether clear why "any complete understanding of the coming China Wars" (p. 2) must begin with a discussion of the so-called `China Price', but that nevertheless is the starting point of the book. Navarro identified nine drivers that sustain what he calls the "weapon of mass production" - low-wage labor; lax health, safety, and environmental regulations; foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows; industrial network clustering; pervasive piracy and counterfeiting; undervalued currency; government subsidies; and protectionist tendencies. Without any truly contextual (e.g. attempting to understand the range of factors influencing the Chinese government's position on exchange rate system, or acknowledging the views of Nobel laureates in economics (Josephy Stiglitz and Robert Mundell) who cautioned against rapid re-valuation of the Chinese currency) or comparative (e.g. China's protectionist and purported neo-mercantilist tendencies pale in comparison to those of Japan in the 1980s and South Korea up to this day) frameworks, this first chapter holds little value except for the fact that Navarro relies on the implied causality of the China Price and export-led economic growth to pave the way for the arguments offered in the remainder of the book.
Perhaps the least controversial chapter in the book may be the one dealing with the issue of widespread piracy and counterfeiting, though the near two-page exposition of fictional scenarios seems intended more as page filler and sensational highlighting of the problems than objective, detached scholarly analysis (of which this book is largely devoid). The importance of this particular topic, however, is undeniable, as has been documented by recent headline-grabbing news surrounding pet food and toothpaste exports from China. The author aptly (although very briefly) discusses the problems related to enforcement of intellectual property rights in China in terms of the inherent economic logic that leads to a vast discrepancy between policy and lawmaking at the center and enforcement at the local level; highlights divergent forms of piracy and counterfeiting ("ghost -shift," reverse-engineering, and "start-up counterfeiter" scenarios); and argues that the legal system of pirate (in)justice will only be addressed in more coherent fashion following the emergence of Chinese businesses with their own intellectual property to safeguard.
Air pollution and general environmental problems are the subject of Chapter 3. The author puts emphasis on China's reliance on coal as a primary source of energy and the contributory effect thereof on rising levels of air pollution, the alarming and accelerating onset of desertification and dust storms - related to over-cultivation, overgrazing, and deforestation - and the resulting impact on China and the world. The problem of effectively combating environmental pollution in China appears also linked to a large extent to questions of economic logic. As Navarro notes, "local officials either collude with corrupt local businesses or believe that nothing must be allowed to slow economic growth" (p. 61). Curiously enough, the obvious challenge and importance of these issues notwithstanding, Navarro chooses to (conveniently?) ignore even a simple mention of the various steps the Chinese government has taken to begin to address these issues.
Chapters 4 and 5 address the issue of energy and raw materials sourcing. From the author's point of view, China's growing thirst for oil is based on an amoral foreign policy ("just business, no politics") characterized by a preference for bilateral contracting (p. 72) rather than coordination and cooperation at the international oil market level, holds the distinct possibility of an accelerated arms race (i.e. guns for oil), leads to a ready embrace of dictatorial regimes, and heightens territorial disputes in the South China Sea. How strange that in enumerating these concerns, it did not occur to the author to reflect on U.S. foreign policy. After all, the "Blood for Oil" part of the title for Chapter 3 seems rather more appropriate for the U.S. than the Chinese case. If, up to this point, the reader has failed to notice Navarro's distinct bias, it comes powerfully to the fore in his discussion of the so-called "new imperialist" wars and "parasitic African adventure" of Chapter 5. Critiquing China (rightly or wrongly) for "using its amoral foreign policy and diplomatic powers at the United Nations to protect African dictators and strongmen from all manners of international pressures and sanctions" (p. 96) certainly does not amount to claiming a moral high ground for other countries, including the United States, for even cursory overview of U.S. foreign economic and strategic policies will inevitably point out similar self-interested attitudes by the U.S. government.
The apex of hypocrisy and ludicrous argumentation, however, is undoubtedly reached in Chapter 6. The less than appropriate comparison with the Opium Wars of the 18th century to China's `role' in the narcotics game notwithstanding, the author implies, however irresponsibly, that the China of the 21st century aims to achieve what Britain managed to do through the Opium Wars - conquering markets for their product. The following quotes, more than any commentary, highlight Navarro's inherent analytical na�vet� and bias: "Although China has conquered many an export market...the same cannot be said for hard drugs. At least in this particular "China War," the Middle Kingdom has lots of bad company" (p. 110); "Today, one of the most important roles that China plays in the global heroin trade is to provide criminal syndicates with the vast quantities of the precursor chemicals needed to turn opium paste into heroin" (p. 112); "China also clandestinely exports precursor ephedrine to Russia the `domestic production of methamphetamine in kitchen labs in quantities for personal use" (p. 121). For a moment, the author also seems to have switched profession, indulging the reader with a methamphetamine and ecstasy primer, stretching over a combined six and a half pages.
The remaining chapters, meanwhile, offer a welcome return to a more balanced analysis, following the extreme bias and implicit/explicit distortions of Chapter 6. A rather short Chapter 7 speaks to the environmental and ecological problems related to China's obsession with dam-building, while Chapter 8 covers the political economy of water pollution and water scarcity. In "China's Wars from Within" (Chapter 9), the authors puts forward the proposition that the distinct potential for "wars from within" is intricately linked to issues such as water pollution and scarcity, corruption, income disparity, rural dislocation, and issues further developed in this chapter. The high level of unemployment, for example, appears correlated with privatization (i.e. the smashing of the "Iron Rice Bowl") and urbanization.. In this context, challenges to the institutional structures of the CCP are increasingly beginning to manifest itself in open discontent and rising numbers of protests; oftentimes fueled by perceived excesses in corruption among party members and seemingly indiscriminate favoritism based on guanxi (a term which the author has managed to misspell throughout the book!). Though far less biased than previous chapters, the fact that the author tries to cover a wide range of issues in just 19 pages (from unemployment, rising popular discontent of the dispossessed, and indications of possible class wars to manifestations of corruption, ethnic strife and Muslim separatism) attests to the hasty compilation of this work, considering that it is all largely devoid of substantive contextualization (a critique which I shall return to shortly).
In Chapter 10, Navarro puts the finger on the problems and challenges posed by a rapidly ageing population, a largely under-funded pension system in China, a crisis-ridden health-care system, the political effect of environmental protesters (the discussion of which would have been better suited for Chapter 9), and China's "ticking HIV/AIDS time bomb" (pp. 188-198).
In the closing chapter, Navarro pulls out the final stops with his policy prescriptions for "how to fight - and win! - the coming China Wars." In discussing his prescriptions for combating China's global pollution, he goes so far as to imply that businesses of advanced industrial economies may "set up shop in China simply to avoid more stringent restrictions in the home country" (p. 202). Of course, no inkling of evidence is provided to even begin to entertain this claim, which may not hold up to strict scrutiny to begin with! On the notion of "China's immoral and opportunistic use of its U.N. veto as a diplomatic shield for all manners of outrage," he goes so far as to advocated the intensely na�ve proposition that if "China's abuses of power continue," U.N. member states should "seek to strip China of its permanent veto" (p. 202).
Not to be outdone, in the last few pages, he then even deems it necessary to ever so briefly and simplistically comment on an ever-lingering bogeyman in the Washington establishment - the rise in Chinese military spending and the obvious potential for heightened conflict, if it is to grow at present levels.
As previously mentioned, I shall now briefly return to a critique of the overall style and research that went into this work. In the author's own words, "this book is a carefully researched attempt to break free from the chains of repression and non-fact-based rhetoric that has characterized so much of the current debate" (p. 211) and "[T]he primary research for this book involved analyses of tens of thousands of pages of material from books, newspapers, magazines, scholarly journals, government agencies...international organizations..., "think tanks," and numerous websites and blogs" (p. 219). If the reader makes it through the book and resisting the temptation to throw it away after the first chapter, these comments are bound to trigger laughter. For such purportedly extensive research, the book offers nothing in terms of explanatory and objective analytical value. In fact, rather than steering away from non-fact-rhetoric, as Navarro claims, he did not hesitate to add further to it.
Of 217 pages, a grand total of 134 feature extensive, sometimes paragraph-long (in some instances even spanning an entire page) quotes of various sources. It becomes quickly obvious that the text following these quotes is merely a descriptive and biased attempt at further extending the message in the original citation. My personal favorite was that the author, in his arguably diligent research has put primary emphasis on websites and blogs, as the bibliography clearly attests. He did not even hesitate to draw on wikipedia as a source on two occasions - to define the notion of "realpolitik" (he did not even bother to look at the voluminous literature on realpolitik itself to provide an authoritative definition), and then in his discussion of China's dam building.
As the reader can gather from this review, I thoroughly disliked the book and found it highly one-sided, biased and devoid of anything even resembling substantive analysis. Books with tempting titles such as The Coming China Wars appear to attract a large audience, and thus contribute to a further misinformation of a readership that may lack the basic foundational knowledge to properly assess the message and arguments presented in such books. Yet, sadly, many authors simply feel the pulse and mood of the times and pander to the demands and viewpoints held by a majority with sensationalist, hastily compiled publications that do no one any real service. The Coming China Wars, if nothing else, deserves high praise for its obvious success in handily contributing to a intensification of already distorted viewpoints on China of people that do not have the grounding or drive to differentiate value-enhancing scholarship from useless, sensationalist, cut-and-paste style commentary.
45 of 64 people found the following review helpful.
Simplistic and exaggerating
By B. Nixon
This book is written for the American far-rightists: it's preachy rhetoric of protectionist policies is a sure-fire sign to stay away.
China should be looked at objectively. There are positives and negatives to China's current policies; but hey, this isn't any different from US policies as well. If this kind of a book came out about the United States, I'd bet the same people praising this book would come out denouncing that one as destructive and evil.
As for this one, I suggest passing on it. There are many books and documentaries that better chronicle China's ascendancy to becoming a global superpower and the subsequent problems that accompany this transition. The world must learn to embrace China and its change, and not become scared off by it, because this will only encourage recoil and reaction. This author's dialogue is dangerous for Sino-US relations.
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